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Red153
535241.5
968513.5
400339.6
Blue133
553434.7
171123.1
610023.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11392406080100140160180153133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+22Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points10
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
19Coral scored#14
67Coral points51
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#8
18Processor points18
28Net points32
46Algae points50
113Total teleop101
Reef
5L4#7
9L3#4
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
153Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.9
40.741.7
Auto11.1
Teleop24.6
End5.8
red by 6.8
34.70.8
33.534.3
Auto4.5
Teleop25.5
End4.7
Second
39.60.9
38.939.8
Auto7.3
Teleop30.6
End1.8
red by 15.8
6100
#25
23.80.8
22.723.4
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End3.8
Third
9685
#37
13.50.9
12.713.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.5
blue by 9.6
1711
#14
23.10.8
22.022.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.7