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Red78
240530.7
370722.7
571237.3
Blue88
887323.2
965021.0
851730.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10272501507888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+6Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +10
12Coral scored#10
43Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
61Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#2
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
6Cage & park10
6Total endgame10
Penalties & totalBlue +10
2Foul points14
78Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#13
37.30.4
37.737.3
Auto3.4
Teleop30.6
End3.3
red by 6.5
8517
#18
30.70.0
29.829.9
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End5.4
Second
30.70.4
31.230.7
Auto4.7
Teleop23.5
End2.6
red by 7.6
8873
#15
23.20.0
22.322.3
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End1.6
Third
3707
#27
22.70.4
23.122.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
red by 1.8
9650
#10
21.00.0
20.020.1
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End2.0