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Red148
353860.2
1065420.6
357263.9
Blue61
283435.8
612820.1
1060629.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166815010015020014861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+41Auto
+91Teleop
+79Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +41
9Leave6
8Coral scored#0
38Coral points0
47Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +50
19Coral scored#8
69Coral points27
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
89Total teleop39
Reef
11L4#3
8L3#2
3L2#1
5L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +87
8Foul points0
148Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.90.1
64.063.9
Auto19.6
Teleop35.2
End9.1
red by 28.1
2834
#10
35.80.6
36.435.8
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.7
Second
60.20.1
60.360.2
Auto20.2
Teleop37.1
End2.9
red by 31.0
29.10.6
29.729.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End8.0
Third
20.60.1
20.720.6
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 0.4
6128
#37
20.10.6
20.820.1
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End1.8