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Red111
353860.2
1065420.6
357263.9
Blue75
283435.8
612820.1
1060629.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170825010015020025011175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave6
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points13
47Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +8
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop42
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
111Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.90.8
64.864.0
Auto19.6
Teleop35.2
End9.1
red by 28.1
2834
#10
35.80.3
36.736.4
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.7
Second
60.20.8
61.160.3
Auto20.2
Teleop37.1
End2.9
red by 31.0
29.10.3
30.029.7
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End8.0
Third
20.60.8
21.520.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 0.4
6128
#37
20.10.3
21.120.8
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End1.8