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Red79
191847.9
207544.0
1018118.2
Blue81
283435.8
612820.1
1060629.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12891501001502007981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +5
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
41Total teleop36
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
79Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.7
48.747.9
Auto3.7
Teleop36.0
End8.3
red by 12.1
2834
#10
35.80.2
36.836.7
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.7
Second
44.00.7
44.844.0
Auto8.3
Teleop27.1
End8.7
red by 14.9
29.10.2
30.230.0
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End8.0
Third
18.20.7
19.018.2
Auto4.4
Teleop12.3
End1.5
blue by 1.9
6128
#37
20.10.2
21.321.1
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End1.8