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Red105
283435.8
612820.1
1060629.1
Blue101
477637.3
781013.4
515240.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9298406080120140160105101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+10Teleop
+8Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
68Total teleop51
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points4
105Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#10
35.80.4
36.436.8
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.7
blue by 4.8
40.60.1
40.440.6
Auto5.5
Teleop27.2
End7.9
Second
29.10.4
29.830.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End8.0
blue by 8.2
37.30.1
37.237.3
Auto10.0
Teleop22.1
End5.2
Third
6128
#37
20.10.4
20.821.3
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End1.8
red by 6.7
7810
#32
13.40.1
13.313.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4