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Red155
353860.2
1065420.6
357263.9
Blue124
191847.9
207544.0
1018118.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1651156080100140180200220155124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+43Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave9
10Coral scored#2
51Coral points10
54Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points43
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
18Processor points12
20Net points24
38Algae points36
87Total teleop79
Reef
10L4#6
4L3#3
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
155Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.90.2
64.664.8
Auto19.6
Teleop35.2
End9.1
red by 16.0
47.90.3
48.448.7
Auto3.7
Teleop36.0
End8.3
Second
60.20.2
60.961.1
Auto20.2
Teleop37.1
End2.9
red by 16.1
44.00.3
44.544.8
Auto8.3
Teleop27.1
End8.7
Third
20.60.2
21.321.5
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 2.3
18.20.3
18.719.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.3
End1.5