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Red99
283435.8
612820.1
1060629.1
Blue97
705428.6
861223.9
8532.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97944060801201401609997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +16
6Leave9
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
16Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +18
14Coral scored#9
49Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
67Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
99Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#10
35.80.3
36.236.4
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.7
red by 3.6
85
#11
32.20.3
31.932.2
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End3.7
Second
29.10.3
29.529.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End8.0
red by 0.5
28.60.3
28.328.6
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Third
6128
#37
20.10.3
20.520.8
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End1.8
blue by 3.8
8612
#24
23.90.3
23.623.9
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.2