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Red116
477637.3
781013.4
515240.6
Blue104
345824.1
974324.9
240531.8
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96844060120140160116104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
0Teleop0
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points16
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +4
15Coral scored#16
55Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
77Total teleop81
Reef
6L4#11
4L3#4
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
116Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.6
39.840.4
Auto5.5
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 8.8
2405
#15
31.80.6
31.231.8
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End2.3
Second
37.30.6
36.637.2
Auto10.0
Teleop22.1
End5.2
red by 12.4
24.90.6
24.324.9
Auto5.9
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Third
7810
#32
13.40.6
12.713.3
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 10.7
3458
#33
24.10.6
23.624.1
Auto3.0
Teleop19.3
End1.9