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Red83
569714.6
477637.3
974324.9
Blue21
612820.1
861223.9
240531.8
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6579020401001201401608321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+54Teleop
+56Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
9Coral scored#2
32Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
50Total teleop10
Reef
4L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
6Foul points0
83Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.31.6
28.530.1
Auto10.0
Teleop22.1
End5.2
red by 5.6
2405
#15
31.83.4
29.726.3
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End2.3
Second
24.91.0
20.421.4
Auto5.9
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 1.0
8612
#24
23.95.6
23.217.6
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Third
5697
#20
14.61.0
13.614.5
Auto3.0
Teleop10.3
End1.3
blue by 5.5
6128
#37
20.15.6
18.813.1
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed