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Red68
1018118.2
656110.3
515240.6
Blue31
1061319.9
922510.0
920516.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574902040806831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+37Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
10Coral scored#4
37Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
55Total teleop18
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
68Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.61.2
25.626.8
Auto5.5
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 20.6
19.90.9
16.715.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Second
18.21.2
17.218.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.3
End1.5
red by 1.9
9205
#34
16.41.6
13.411.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End1.7
Third
6561
#18
10.31.2
7.68.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End2.0
red by 0.3
9225
#36
10.01.6
15.113.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
5%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed