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Red104
607317.8
353860.2
781013.4
Blue62
959411.0
975612.3
812629.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9859020408012014016010462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
14Coral scored#9
49Coral points33
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
12Processor points12
4Net points4
16Algae points16
65Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
12Foul points0
104Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.20.0
56.156.1
Auto20.2
Teleop37.1
End2.9
red by 30.9
8126
#19
29.30.2
28.027.9
Auto4.0
Teleop23.9
End1.4
Second
6073
#21
17.80.0
17.917.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End3.4
red by 5.5
9756
#31
12.30.3
16.216.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Third
7810
#32
13.40.0
12.312.3
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
red by 2.5
9594
#39
11.00.3
14.414.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed