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Red35
1066412.4
705428.6
92488.6
Blue43
1060629.1
323412.4
1065420.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5367204060801003543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
5Coral scored#4
18Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
22Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
35Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.61.3
23.021.7
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End5.3
blue by 0.5
29.125.2
41.416.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End8.0
Second
12.41.3
13.312.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 8.1
20.61.6
16.915.4
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Third
9248
#35
8.61.3
10.79.3
Auto0.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 3.7
3234
#17
12.41.6
22.520.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned