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Red118
277126.4
477637.3
191847.9
Blue150
283435.8
569714.6
357263.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8810720406080120140160118150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+22
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave3
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +2
17Coral scored#18
61Coral points63
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#2
6Processor points18
24Net points8
30Algae points26
91Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#10
5L3#5
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
27Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
118Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.92.9
28.931.8
Auto3.7
Teleop36.0
End8.3
blue by 16.0
63.93.0
52.555.5
Auto19.6
Teleop35.2
End9.1
Second
37.32.9
25.628.5
Auto10.0
Teleop22.1
End5.2
red by 1.5
2834
#10
35.83.0
31.334.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.7
Third
2771
#26
26.42.9
26.429.3
Auto4.0
Teleop17.5
End4.9
red by 11.8
5697
#20
14.63.0
10.613.6
Auto3.0
Teleop10.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned