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Red48
828516.1
207544.0
400423.9
Blue100
974324.9
1061418.1
515240.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110675010015020048100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+44
Endgame+46
Fouls+52
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +51
3Coral scored#13
12Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
18Total teleop69
Reef
1L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points6
48Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.05.9
42.836.8
Auto8.3
Teleop27.1
End8.7
red by 3.5
40.61.5
24.125.6
Auto5.5
Teleop27.2
End7.9
Second
4004
#13
23.95.9
26.420.5
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End5.1
blue by 1.0
24.91.5
18.920.4
Auto5.9
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Third
8285
#30
16.15.9
23.317.3
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End3.7
blue by 2.1
18.11.5
20.922.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned