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Red44
965024.1
804121.9
974324.9
Blue36
705428.6
959411.0
922510.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58582040801004436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+14Teleop
+12Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
7Coral scored#3
24Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
32Total teleop12
Reef
4L4#2
1L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
2Foul points6
44Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.8
21.420.6
Auto5.9
Teleop17.6
End1.4
blue by 3.7
28.62.6
25.723.1
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Second
9650
#29
24.10.8
21.620.8
Auto4.0
Teleop17.4
End2.6
red by 13.1
9594
#39
11.02.6
14.211.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Third
8041
#14
21.90.8
10.49.7
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End3.7
red by 11.9
9225
#36
10.02.6
13.510.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed