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Red51
477637.3
828516.1
656110.3
Blue42
400423.9
612820.1
609416.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67530204060801005142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
4Coral scored#4
15Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
29Total teleop14
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
51Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.5
30.129.6
Auto10.0
Teleop22.1
End5.2
red by 13.5
4004
#13
23.90.6
17.617.0
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End5.1
Second
8285
#30
16.10.5
16.616.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End3.7
blue by 4.1
6128
#37
20.10.6
13.112.6
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Third
6561
#18
10.30.3
8.88.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End2.0
blue by 6.4
6094
#22
16.70.6
16.515.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned