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Red126
550927.6
283435.8
1060629.1
Blue46
240531.8
569714.6
1061418.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816720406010012012646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+52Teleop
+74Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave0
7Coral scored#1
33Coral points6
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
13Coral scored#7
47Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
61Total teleop36
Reef
9L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#10
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
6Foul points0
126Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#10
35.83.1
34.737.7
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.7
red by 4.0
2405
#15
31.81.2
26.325.1
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End2.3
Second
29.15.1
15.520.6
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End8.0
red by 11.0
18.11.2
20.719.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.6
Third
5509
#12
27.65.1
20.725.9
Auto5.8
Teleop19.8
End2.0
red by 13.0
5697
#20
14.61.2
14.513.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed