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Red184
353860.2
515240.6
207544.0
Blue76
277126.4
8532.2
1066412.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1397505010015020018476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+84Teleop
+96Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave3
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +56
20Coral scored#10
71Coral points35
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
109Total teleop53
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#2
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +108
12Foul points0
184Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.23.2
56.159.3
Auto20.2
Teleop37.1
End2.9
red by 28.0
85
#11
32.20.3
30.430.2
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End3.7
Second
44.05.3
36.541.8
Auto8.3
Teleop27.1
End8.7
red by 17.6
2771
#26
26.40.3
29.929.6
Auto4.0
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Third
40.63.2
26.829.9
Auto5.5
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 28.1
12.40.3
12.011.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned