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Red43
975612.3
1018118.2
1061319.9
Blue62
607317.8
609028.5
323412.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537502040601001201404362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +8
4Coral scored#6
14Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
22Total teleop30
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points20
43Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.5
15.815.3
Auto4.5
Teleop13.0
End2.4
blue by 8.5
6090
#16
28.52.8
31.428.6
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End3.1
Second
18.20.5
18.417.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.3
End1.5
red by 0.4
6073
#21
17.82.8
17.915.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End3.4
Third
9756
#31
12.30.8
16.015.2
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 0.1
3234
#17
12.42.8
18.015.2
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed