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Red52
861223.9
812629.3
781013.4
Blue28
1065420.6
92488.6
920516.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions693702060801001205228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +23
7Coral scored#3
25Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
33Total teleop10
Reef
2L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
12Foul points6
52Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8126
#19
29.31.4
27.926.5
Auto4.0
Teleop23.9
End1.4
red by 8.7
20.61.6
15.413.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Second
8612
#24
23.92.3
17.615.3
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.2
red by 7.5
9205
#34
16.41.6
11.810.2
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End1.7
Third
7810
#32
13.42.3
12.310.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
red by 4.8
9248
#35
8.61.6
9.37.7
Auto0.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed