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Red103
550927.6
191847.9
345824.1
Blue147
965024.1
705428.6
357263.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69112020406080100120140160103147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+30
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +27
3Leave0
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points33
6Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +3
20Coral scored#19
71Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
95Total teleop98
Reef
5L4#10
8L3#7
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
103Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.92.7
31.834.5
Auto3.7
Teleop36.0
End8.3
blue by 16.0
63.92.4
55.557.9
Auto19.6
Teleop35.2
End9.1
Second
5509
#12
27.62.7
18.120.7
Auto5.8
Teleop19.8
End2.0
blue by 1.0
28.64.0
21.725.7
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Third
3458
#33
24.12.7
15.318.0
Auto3.0
Teleop19.3
End1.9
red by 0.1
9650
#29
24.12.4
19.121.6
Auto4.0
Teleop17.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned