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Red83
240531.8
8532.2
550927.6
Blue43
92488.6
1061319.9
1061418.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions974402060801201401608343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+40Teleop
+42Endgame
+40Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
12Coral scored#6
42Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
68Total teleop28
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points2
83Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#11
32.20.2
30.230.4
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End3.7
red by 12.3
19.90.1
15.315.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Second
2405
#15
31.80.1
25.125.2
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End2.3
red by 13.6
18.10.1
19.519.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.6
Third
5509
#12
27.60.2
25.926.1
Auto5.8
Teleop19.8
End2.0
red by 19.0
9248
#35
8.60.2
7.77.6
Auto0.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed