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Red44
1066412.4
1065420.6
569714.6
Blue24
656110.3
781013.4
975612.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43371020305060704424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +15
5Coral scored#2
19Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
25Total teleop10
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points6
44Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.1
13.713.6
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 7.1
7810
#32
13.41.7
10.08.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Second
5697
#20
14.60.1
13.313.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.3
End1.3
red by 2.3
9756
#31
12.31.7
15.213.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Third
12.40.1
11.711.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End0.8
red by 2.1
6561
#18
10.31.0
8.57.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed