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Red30
920516.4
277126.4
607317.8
Blue79
1060629.1
959411.0
477637.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60722040801001203079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+41
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +28
3Coral scored#10
11Coral points35
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
15Total teleop43
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
30Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#26
26.42.8
29.626.9
Auto4.0
Teleop17.5
End4.9
blue by 10.9
37.31.9
29.631.5
Auto10.0
Teleop22.1
End5.2
Second
6073
#21
17.82.8
15.112.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End3.4
blue by 11.3
29.11.9
20.622.5
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End8.0
Third
9205
#34
16.42.8
10.27.4
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End1.7
red by 5.4
9594
#39
11.01.9
11.613.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned