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Red96
828516.1
283435.8
804121.9
Blue67
1018118.2
345824.1
861223.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72602040801001209667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+17Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
96Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#10
35.82.2
37.739.9
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.7
red by 11.7
3458
#33
24.11.2
20.421.5
Auto3.0
Teleop19.3
End1.9
Second
8041
#14
21.92.2
9.711.8
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End3.7
blue by 2.0
8612
#24
23.91.2
15.316.5
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Third
8285
#30
16.13.6
16.119.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End3.7
blue by 2.2
18.20.7
17.918.6
Auto4.4
Teleop12.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed