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Red45
240531.8
92488.6
975612.3
Blue34
1018118.2
277126.4
781013.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465802040801004534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+17Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
8Coral scored#3
29Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
33Total teleop15
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points6
45Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2405
#15
31.80.1
25.225.1
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End2.3
red by 5.4
2771
#26
26.42.9
26.924.0
Auto4.0
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Second
9756
#31
12.30.1
13.413.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 5.9
18.21.7
18.616.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.3
End1.5
Third
9248
#35
8.60.1
7.67.4
Auto0.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 4.8
7810
#32
13.42.9
8.25.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed