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Red41
1066412.4
345824.1
974324.9
Blue122
353860.2
477637.3
8532.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49143010020041122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+29
Teleop+71
Endgame+81
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +29
9Leave0
1Coral scored#9
6Coral points44
15Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +42
4Coral scored#10
16Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
0Processor points6
4Net points20
4Algae points26
20Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#6
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points0
41Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.91.2
23.222.0
Auto5.9
Teleop17.6
End1.4
blue by 35.3
60.20.3
61.961.6
Auto20.2
Teleop37.1
End2.9
Second
3458
#33
24.12.0
21.519.5
Auto3.0
Teleop19.3
End1.9
blue by 13.2
37.30.5
31.531.0
Auto10.0
Teleop22.1
End5.2
Third
12.42.0
11.69.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 19.8
85
#11
32.20.5
30.429.8
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned