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Red92
191847.9
812629.3
922510.0
Blue78
515240.6
828516.1
959411.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9271204060801001201409278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+16Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points51
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
12Processor points0
16Net points12
28Algae points12
76Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
92Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.1
38.638.5
Auto3.7
Teleop36.0
End8.3
red by 7.3
40.60.1
32.432.2
Auto5.5
Teleop27.2
End7.9
Second
8126
#19
29.30.1
27.927.9
Auto4.0
Teleop23.9
End1.4
red by 13.2
8285
#30
16.10.2
19.719.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End3.7
Third
9225
#36
10.00.1
12.412.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
blue by 1.0
9594
#39
11.00.2
13.513.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsMissed