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Red115
920516.4
400423.9
357263.9
Blue31
804121.9
607317.8
812629.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10755015011531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+72Teleop
+84Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
3Leave0
7Coral scored#2
33Coral points9
36Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +45
11Coral scored#3
41Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
63Total teleop18
Reef
6L4#1
4L3#1
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points0
115Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.91.6
62.964.5
Auto19.6
Teleop35.2
End9.1
red by 34.6
8126
#19
29.31.6
27.926.3
Auto4.0
Teleop23.9
End1.4
Second
4004
#13
23.92.6
21.424.0
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End5.1
red by 1.9
8041
#14
21.91.6
14.512.9
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End3.7
Third
9205
#34
16.42.6
6.99.5
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End1.7
blue by 1.4
6073
#21
17.82.6
12.39.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed