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Red80
781013.4
191847.9
705428.6
Blue48
612820.1
1060629.1
1061319.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866320401001201408048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +34
12Coral scored#4
44Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
54Total teleop20
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
80Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.91.0
38.539.5
Auto3.7
Teleop36.0
End8.3
red by 18.8
29.11.2
21.920.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End8.0
Second
28.61.0
27.228.2
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End5.3
red by 8.5
6128
#37
20.11.2
18.617.5
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Third
7810
#32
13.41.0
5.46.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 6.5
19.90.7
17.817.1
Auto4.5
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned