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Red56
8532.2
861223.9
1061418.1
Blue48
705428.6
656110.3
920516.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8646020601001201405648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+10Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +10
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
42Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
56Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#11
32.21.9
31.930.0
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End3.7
red by 3.6
28.60.1
28.228.3
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Second
8612
#24
23.91.9
19.317.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.2
red by 7.5
9205
#34
16.40.1
9.59.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End1.7
Third
18.11.1
18.817.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.6
red by 7.8
6561
#18
10.30.1
6.56.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed