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Red45
569714.6
550927.6
92488.6
Blue71
400423.9
812629.3
477637.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions459802060801201401604571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +15
5Coral scored#10
19Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
31Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
2Foul points0
45Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#12
27.60.2
25.325.1
Auto5.8
Teleop19.8
End2.0
blue by 9.7
37.31.2
31.930.7
Auto10.0
Teleop22.1
End5.2
Second
5697
#20
14.60.1
13.513.4
Auto3.0
Teleop10.3
End1.3
blue by 14.7
8126
#19
29.30.7
26.325.5
Auto4.0
Teleop23.9
End1.4
Third
9248
#35
8.60.2
6.26.0
Auto0.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 15.2
4004
#13
23.91.2
24.022.8
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed