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Red103
207544.0
705428.6
283435.8
Blue75
861223.9
828516.1
920516.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1363405010015020010375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+20Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points28
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
76Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
6Foul points6
103Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.02.5
44.041.5
Auto8.3
Teleop27.1
End8.7
red by 20.1
8612
#24
23.92.1
17.419.5
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Second
2834
#10
35.81.6
40.038.4
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.7
red by 19.4
9205
#34
16.42.1
9.711.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End1.7
Third
28.62.7
28.325.6
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End5.3
red by 12.6
8285
#30
16.12.1
14.016.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed