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Red64
612820.1
1061418.1
477637.3
Blue63
1060629.1
804121.9
1018118.2
65%Model gave it35%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78650501001506463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+9Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +5
5Coral scored#5
19Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
33Total teleop28
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
6Foul points6
64Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.31.2
30.729.5
Auto10.0
Teleop22.1
End5.2
red by 8.2
29.10.6
26.525.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End8.0
Second
6128
#37
20.11.2
18.517.3
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End1.8
blue by 1.8
8041
#14
21.90.4
16.115.7
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End3.7
Third
18.10.8
17.716.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.6
blue by 0.1
18.20.4
17.517.1
Auto4.4
Teleop12.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned