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Red36
781013.4
323412.4
550927.6
Blue71
812629.3
656110.3
8532.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58712040801003671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +26
5Coral scored#8
17Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
27Total teleop53
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
36Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#12
27.61.8
25.123.3
Auto5.8
Teleop19.8
End2.0
blue by 4.6
85
#11
32.20.9
30.030.9
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End3.7
Second
7810
#32
13.41.8
9.77.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 15.8
8126
#19
29.30.6
25.526.1
Auto4.0
Teleop23.9
End1.4
Third
3234
#17
12.41.8
18.316.6
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End0.4
red by 2.1
6561
#18
10.30.6
6.67.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed