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Red107
1061319.9
191847.9
515240.6
Blue61
92488.6
609416.7
353860.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10983406010012014016010761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+26Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +41
14Coral scored#4
49Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
71Total teleop30
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#12
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
107Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.91.0
44.945.9
Auto3.7
Teleop36.0
End8.3
blue by 12.2
60.21.4
58.256.8
Auto20.2
Teleop37.1
End2.9
Second
40.60.7
34.134.8
Auto5.5
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 23.9
6094
#22
16.72.3
17.515.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End4.5
Third
19.90.7
18.118.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 11.3
9248
#35
8.62.1
6.03.8
Auto0.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed