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Red39
922510.0
965024.1
1066412.4
Blue46
400423.9
609028.5
569714.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537602040601001201403946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
5Coral scored#6
19Coral points23
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
27Total teleop31
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
39Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9650
#29
24.10.8
22.221.4
Auto4.0
Teleop17.4
End2.6
blue by 4.4
6090
#16
28.52.2
31.229.0
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End3.1
Second
12.41.2
14.913.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 11.4
4004
#13
23.92.4
22.820.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End5.1
Third
9225
#36
10.01.2
13.812.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
blue by 4.6
5697
#20
14.61.4
13.412.0
Auto3.0
Teleop10.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed