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Red70
975612.3
861223.9
1065420.6
Blue92
477637.3
207544.0
607317.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions521010204060801201401607092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+2Teleop
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#8
35Coral points30
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
53Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
70Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8612
#24
23.92.3
19.521.8
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.2
blue by 20.1
44.00.9
41.542.4
Auto8.3
Teleop27.1
End8.7
Second
20.62.3
17.519.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End1.9
blue by 16.8
37.30.9
29.530.4
Auto10.0
Teleop22.1
End5.2
Third
9756
#31
12.32.3
8.811.1
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 5.5
6073
#21
17.81.0
11.712.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned