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Red117
8532.2
781013.4
1060629.1
Blue39
974324.9
283435.8
922510.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708220406010012014011739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+32Teleop
+52Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
9Coral scored#5
32Coral points19
0Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
0Processor points0
16Net points4
16Algae points4
48Total teleop23
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#8
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
26Foul points0
117Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#11
32.22.5
30.933.5
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End3.7
blue by 3.6
2834
#10
35.82.3
38.436.1
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.7
Second
29.12.5
25.928.4
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End8.0
red by 4.2
24.92.3
22.019.7
Auto5.9
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Third
7810
#32
13.42.5
7.910.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
red by 3.4
9225
#36
10.03.3
12.69.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed