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Red74
609028.5
550927.6
975612.3
Blue89
861223.9
609416.7
191847.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669602040801201401607489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+9
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
11Coral scored#13
40Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
58Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points6
74Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#16
28.50.8
29.029.7
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End3.1
blue by 19.4
47.90.4
45.945.5
Auto3.7
Teleop36.0
End8.3
Second
5509
#12
27.60.8
23.324.1
Auto5.8
Teleop19.8
End2.0
red by 3.7
8612
#24
23.90.4
21.821.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Third
9756
#31
12.30.7
11.111.8
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 4.4
6094
#22
16.70.4
16.516.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed