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Red94
804121.9
920516.4
477637.3
Blue146
1065420.6
353860.2
705428.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54122010015094146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+26
Endgame+34
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave3
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points26
16Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +13
16Coral scored#18
58Coral points65
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
72Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#6
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points18
94Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.33.1
30.433.4
Auto10.0
Teleop22.1
End5.2
blue by 22.8
60.21.6
58.460.0
Auto20.2
Teleop37.1
End2.9
Second
8041
#14
21.92.3
17.419.6
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End3.7
blue by 6.7
28.62.1
26.128.2
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Third
9205
#34
16.43.1
11.914.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End1.7
blue by 4.2
20.62.1
19.821.9
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned