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Red120
191847.9
357263.9
828516.1
Blue38
781013.4
1066412.4
1061418.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1563305010020012038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+60Teleop
+80Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +49
12Coral scored#4
43Coral points16
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
12Processor points6
16Net points0
28Algae points6
71Total teleop22
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#6
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
2Foul points0
120Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.90.7
64.263.5
Auto19.6
Teleop35.2
End9.1
red by 45.8
18.10.3
18.418.1
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.6
Second
47.90.8
46.946.1
Auto3.7
Teleop36.0
End8.3
red by 34.5
7810
#32
13.40.4
11.511.1
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Third
8285
#30
16.10.7
16.816.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End3.7
red by 3.6
12.40.4
12.812.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed