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Red87
609416.7
804121.9
277126.4
Blue118
812629.3
550927.6
974324.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62840204010012014087118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+41
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points21
9Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +29
12Coral scored#16
44Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
62Total teleop91
Reef
5L4#10
3L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
87Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#26
26.41.5
24.526.1
Auto4.0
Teleop17.5
End4.9
blue by 2.9
8126
#19
29.32.2
28.030.2
Auto4.0
Teleop23.9
End1.4
Second
8041
#14
21.91.2
20.421.6
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End3.7
blue by 5.7
5509
#12
27.62.7
25.928.7
Auto5.8
Teleop19.8
End2.0
Third
6094
#22
16.71.4
15.316.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End4.5
blue by 8.2
24.92.2
21.824.0
Auto5.9
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed