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Red101
515240.6
92488.6
1060629.1
Blue77
283435.8
975612.3
965024.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7776405060709010011010177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +24
15Coral scored#8
55Coral points29
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
73Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
101Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.61.5
37.338.8
Auto5.5
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 4.8
2834
#10
35.80.1
36.336.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.7
Second
29.11.7
27.929.6
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End8.0
red by 5.1
9650
#29
24.10.1
24.124.1
Auto4.0
Teleop17.4
End2.6
Third
9248
#35
8.61.7
6.98.6
Auto0.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 3.7
9756
#31
12.30.1
12.412.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned