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Red68
959411.0
609028.5
861223.9
Blue70
400423.9
240531.8
705428.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7099204060801201401606870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points19
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +2
8Coral scored#7
28Coral points26
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
32Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points2
68Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#16
28.50.6
30.129.4
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End3.1
blue by 3.3
2405
#15
31.81.6
32.530.9
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End2.3
Second
8612
#24
23.90.6
22.922.3
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.2
blue by 4.7
28.61.8
28.827.0
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Third
9594
#39
11.00.6
11.611.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
blue by 12.9
4004
#13
23.91.8
25.323.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned