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Red106
323412.4
353860.2
569714.6
Blue89
345824.1
607317.8
612820.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10057020408012014016010689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points38
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
12Processor points18
12Net points8
24Algae points26
60Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
12Foul points12
106Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.20.4
61.461.8
Auto20.2
Teleop37.1
End2.9
red by 36.0
3458
#33
24.11.5
21.823.3
Auto3.0
Teleop19.3
End1.9
Second
5697
#20
14.60.4
14.214.6
Auto3.0
Teleop10.3
End1.3
blue by 5.5
6128
#37
20.11.6
19.020.6
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Third
3234
#17
12.40.5
11.912.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End0.4
blue by 5.4
6073
#21
17.81.5
16.317.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed