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Red81
283435.8
612820.1
1060629.1
Blue70
345824.1
974324.9
240531.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95854060801001201408170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
4Coral scored#2
22Coral points10
22Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +2
9Coral scored#11
31Coral points39
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
45Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
81Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#10
35.80.1
36.336.1
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.7
red by 4.0
2405
#15
31.80.2
30.930.7
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End2.3
Second
29.10.1
29.629.4
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End8.0
red by 4.2
24.90.2
24.023.8
Auto5.9
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Third
6128
#37
20.10.1
20.620.5
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End1.8
blue by 4.0
3458
#33
24.10.2
23.323.1
Auto3.0
Teleop19.3
End1.9