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Red78
400423.9
804121.9
277126.4
Blue116
705428.6
861223.9
8532.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819320406010012014078116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+38
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
15Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +27
9Coral scored#11
33Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
6Processor points12
8Net points24
14Algae points36
47Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
78Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#26
26.40.2
26.226.4
Auto4.0
Teleop17.5
End4.9
blue by 5.8
85
#11
32.20.8
31.131.9
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End3.7
Second
4004
#13
23.90.1
23.723.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End5.1
blue by 4.8
28.60.8
27.628.3
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Third
8041
#14
21.90.1
21.821.9
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End3.7
blue by 2.0
8612
#24
23.90.8
22.823.6
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.2