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Red62
609028.5
812629.3
550927.6
Blue100
345824.1
974324.9
240531.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9783406012014016062100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+42
Endgame+44
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +49
6Coral scored#16
23Coral points56
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
0Processor points12
12Net points16
12Algae points28
35Total teleop84
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +38
6Foul points0
62Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8126
#19
29.30.7
30.029.3
Auto4.0
Teleop23.9
End1.4
blue by 2.5
2405
#15
31.80.5
30.731.2
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End2.3
Second
6090
#16
28.50.7
29.228.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End3.1
red by 3.6
24.90.5
23.824.3
Auto5.9
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Third
5509
#12
27.60.8
28.427.6
Auto5.8
Teleop19.8
End2.0
red by 3.5
3458
#33
24.10.5
23.123.6
Auto3.0
Teleop19.3
End1.9